Trans II vs Tartu Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 1
JKN
44%
22%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
TUL
1 - 1
JKN
28%
22%
50%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
JKN
1 - 1
NOM
74%
16%
11%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
JKN
3 - 1
FCP
87%
10%
3%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FAT
3 - 0
JKN
34%
22%
44%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tartu Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FAT
2 - 1
TAM
71%
17%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TUL
0 - 1
FAT
30%
23%
48%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FAT
4 - 1
KUR
36%
23%
42%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TKA
0 - 0
FAT
68%
17%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FAT
3 - 0
JKN
34%
22%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |