Fellin vs Keila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
77%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
PJK
0 - 3
KEI
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
KEI
3 - 2
SJK
77%
13%
10%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
KEI
4 - 4
NOM
45%
22%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
VJK
3 - 7
KEI
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
KEI
4 - 3
FOR
75%
14%
11%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |