JJ Urquiza vs San Telmo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
BER
1 - 2
JJU
33%
27%
40%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
JJU
2 - 0
BER
68%
20%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MID
0 - 2
JJU
45%
27%
29%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
RIE
5 - 1
JJU
78%
15%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
JJU
0 - 2
LAM
60%
23%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
TAL
0 - 2
STM
57%
24%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
STM
0 - 2
DOC
52%
24%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
DOC
1 - 0
STM
51%
25%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
STM
1 - 1
LAF
48%
26%
26%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 1
STM
41%
27%
32%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |