JJ Urquiza vs CA San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 0
JJU
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
JJU
0 - 1
ITU
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
FER
4 - 0
JJU
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
AND
1 - 1
JJU
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
JJU
2 - 2
COM
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2022 |
SMG
1 - 0
ARQ
26%
27%
47%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ACA
2 - 1
SMG
61%
24%
15%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SMG
0 - 1
COL
15%
25%
61%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MER
2 - 0
SMG
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SMG
0 - 1
TAL
25%
28%
47%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |