JJ Urquiza vs CA San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
TAL
2 - 3
JJU
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
JJU
2 - 1
UAI
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
COM
2 - 3
JJU
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
JJU
0 - 2
ARM
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
VSC
3 - 1
JJU
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SMG
3 - 1
SAC
24%
28%
48%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ACA
4 - 1
SMG
49%
27%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SMG
0 - 2
CAÑ
42%
29%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FLA
3 - 0
SMG
61%
24%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SMG
1 - 0
MER
44%
28%
28%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |