JJ Urquiza vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
TAL
1 - 0
JJU
41%
27%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
JJU
0 - 0
CAD
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
JJU
0 - 4
VSC
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
UAI
1 - 2
JJU
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
JJU
0 - 0
DOC
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
ARQ
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 1
MER
56%
25%
19%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
MER
61%
24%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MER
0 - 0
TAL
28%
28%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CAD
0 - 1
MER
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |