JJ Urquiza vs Arg. Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 0
JJU
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
JJU
1 - 1
ACA
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
JJU
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
JJU
2 - 1
FLA
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
JJU
21%
26%
52%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ARQ
0 - 0
SAC
28%
27%
46%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 0
ARQ
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
ARQ
1 - 1
CAÑ
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
FLA
7 - 2
ARQ
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ARQ
0 - 2
MER
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |