JJ Urquiza vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
MID
2 - 1
JJU
32%
27%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
JJU
1 - 0
CAÑ
60%
22%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 1
JJU
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
JJU
51%
26%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
JJU
2 - 0
ARQ
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 0
DOC
42%
26%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BER
2 - 1
ARM
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 2
SBA
20%
25%
55%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CCO
2 - 0
ARM
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 1
MID
40%
28%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |