Busoga United vs SC Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
13º
12º
52
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
52 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busoga United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
URA
1 - 2
JIN
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
JIN
1 - 0
UPD
39%
24%
36%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
BTC
0 - 2
JIN
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
JIN
0 - 1
MFC
32%
25%
44%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
JIN
1 - 0
VIP
22%
24%
54%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
SCV
1 - 0
BUL
43%
27%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
EXP
1 - 2
SCV
36%
30%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SCV
2 - 1
OND
60%
24%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GAD
1 - 1
SCV
52%
26%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
URA
1 - 1
SCV
49%
27%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |