Busoga United vs NEC FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busoga United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VIP
3 - 0
JIN
66%
19%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
JIN
2 - 1
KIT
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
BUL
1 - 0
JIN
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
JIN
2 - 2
URA
28%
26%
47%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
WAK
3 - 0
JIN
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
NEC FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 1
AHS
40%
23%
38%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
VIP
4 - 1
NEC
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
NEC
0 - 0
BRI
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
NEC
2 - 5
EXP
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BUL
1 - 1
NEC
69%
18%
14%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |