Busoga United vs Mbarara City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busoga United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
JIN
0 - 2
EXP
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
NEC
5 - 0
JIN
9%
16%
76%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | -3 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AHS
0 - 1
JIN
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VIP
5 - 0
JIN
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
JIN
0 - 0
KCC
31%
29%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
MCF
0 - 0
VIP
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
EXP
0 - 0
MCF
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
MCF
0 - 1
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
32 | 6 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
KCC
2 - 1
MCF
72%
17%
12%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
MCF
1 - 0
ADM
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |