Busoga United vs Arua Hill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busoga United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
UPD
2 - 1
JIN
52%
26%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
JIN
0 - 0
BRI
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
SOA
1 - 3
JIN
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
WAK
1 - 0
JIN
67%
18%
16%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
JIN
0 - 1
KCC
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arua Hill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
AHS
0 - 1
KCC
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
GAD
1 - 0
AHS
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
AHS
3 - 2
URA
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
MCF
2 - 1
AHS
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
AHS
0 - 0
OND
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |