Jiangxi Lushan vs Yunnan Yukun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+95%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
15º
16º
16º
57
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 55 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 49 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 47 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 43 |
8º
|
63% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 33 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 29 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 26 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 26 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 20 |
16º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
91% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 0
JIA
46%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
JIA
1 - 2
HKF
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 0
SHA
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GFC
2 - 0
JIA
66%
22%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GFC
2 - 1
JIA
66%
22%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Yunnan Yukun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 5
YUN
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
YUN
3 - 0
ANH
30%
25%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
YUN
2 - 1
NAN
30%
27%
44%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DUF
0 - 0
YUN
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
YUN
3 - 1
BIT
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |