Jiangxi Lushan vs Suzhou Dongwu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
53.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
15º
16º
16º
41
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 55 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 49 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 47 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 43 |
8º
|
63% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 33 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 29 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 26 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 26 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 20 |
16º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
91% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
DUF
1 - 1
JIA
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
JIA
2 - 5
GUA
18%
21%
60%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
YAN
2 - 1
JIA
70%
18%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HSF
1 - 4
JIA
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 3
DAL
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Suzhou Dongwu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ANH
2 - 4
SDO
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SDO
0 - 0
YUN
33%
26%
40%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
QFC
3 - 3
SDO
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
QHA
1 - 2
SDO
11%
17%
73%
|
50 | 10 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SDO
2 - 2
GFC
20%
28%
52%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |