Jiangxi Lushan vs Nanjing City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
15º
16º
16º
27
3º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 53 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 48 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 48 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 35 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 26 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 20 |
16º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
88.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
QFC
1 - 2
JIA
56%
24%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
JIA
1 - 1
SHE
24%
25%
52%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 0
ANH
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
YUN
3 - 0
JIA
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JIA
1 - 0
CHO
32%
25%
44%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Nanjing City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 1
WWF
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SDO
2 - 1
NAN
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUF
0 - 0
NAN
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ANH
2 - 1
NAN
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
CBC
13%
20%
68%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |