Jiangxi Lushan vs Jinan Xingzhou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
16º
16º
43
3º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
YAN
1 - 1
JIA
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 2
DUF
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SJF
2 - 0
JIA
66%
22%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ANH
1 - 2
JIA
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
QYI
1 - 0
JIA
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Jinan Xingzhou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
JXF
0 - 2
SJF
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
JXF
2 - 2
SHE
66%
21%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ANH
2 - 2
JXF
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
JXF
1 - 0
HKF
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
JXF
0 - 0
GFC
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |