China League Two Play Off Ascenso 1/16
Global 3-3
Jiangxi Lushan vs Jiangsu Yancheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
JYD
2 - 0
JIA
29%
27%
45%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
JIA
1 - 2
HBF
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SDO
0 - 0
JIA
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
JIA
1 - 1
KEJ
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ZHH
1 - 2
JIA
16%
24%
60%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Jiangsu Yancheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
JYD
2 - 0
JIA
29%
27%
45%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
JYD
0 - 0
QIN
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
HOH
0 - 1
JYD
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
JYD
1 - 0
SHE
20%
24%
55%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
JIB
2 - 2
JYD
55%
21%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |