League One Playoff Descenso Final
Global 3-2
Jiangxi Lushan vs Beijing Renhe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 3
JIA
57%
25%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
JIA
2 - 2
NMZ
28%
28%
45%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SDO
2 - 1
JIA
50%
27%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
JIA
1 - 1
ANH
22%
28%
51%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SCA
1 - 1
JIA
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Renhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
GUI
3 - 0
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
GUI
3 - 2
SJF
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
HUB
1 - 1
GUI
29%
26%
46%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
GUI
2 - 3
SHE
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BEI
3 - 0
GUI
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |