Jiangxi Lushan vs Heilongjiang Ice City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
53.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
15º
16º
16º
23
2º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 54 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 53 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 50 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 48 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 44 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 35 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 33 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 26 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 22 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10.5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
89.5% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
YUN
3 - 0
JIA
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JIA
1 - 0
CHO
32%
25%
44%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HKF
2 - 1
JIA
76%
17%
7%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
JIA
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 1
GFC
18%
24%
59%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Heilongjiang Ice City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ANH
2 - 1
NAN
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ANH
1 - 2
DAL
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ANH
0 - 0
YUN
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ANH
0 - 0
CHO
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ANH
1 - 3
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |