Jiangxi Dark Horse vs Xi'an Ronghai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+87%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
6º
5º
13
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
29 | 21 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 16 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 16 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 15 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
1º
|
29 | 15 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 14 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 14 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 8 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RZY
1 - 1
JIA
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JIA
1 - 0
BIT
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
JIA
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 1
GGZ
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
JIA
2 - 1
GUA
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Xi'an Ronghai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SSP
2 - 2
XIR
88%
8%
4%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
XIR
0 - 1
HSF
13%
17%
70%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
XIR
1 - 0
TTF
14%
21%
65%
|
9 | 50 | 41 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LAN
4 - 1
XIR
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 0
XIR
78%
14%
9%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |