Jiangxi Dark Horse vs Hubei Istar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
55%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
7º
6º
23
7º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
45 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 7 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BIT
0 - 0
JIA
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
QFC
3 - 1
JIA
67%
21%
13%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 2
DAL
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WCH
2 - 0
JIA
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
JIA
2 - 0
BIT
21%
20%
58%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Hubei Istar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
WCH
2 - 3
YUN
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
WCH
0 - 1
GUA
63%
22%
16%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CHO
3 - 0
WCH
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WCH
2 - 0
JIA
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
YUN
1 - 1
WCH
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |