Jiangxi Dark Horse vs Hunan Billows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
64.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
4º
4º
13
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
YUN
2 - 0
JIA
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
QYF
0 - 0
JIA
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 3
QYI
9%
16%
75%
|
19 | 58 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 6
CHO
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
QUI
0 - 1
JIA
9%
13%
78%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Hunan Billows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
HBF
1 - 0
HSF
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
SSP
4 - 2
HBF
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
HBF
1 - 0
SHA
20%
23%
57%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +3 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
HBF
1 - 1
GUA
86%
10%
4%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MON
0 - 4
HBF
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |