Jiangxi Dark Horse vs Haikou Mingcheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
17º
12º
6
13º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 16 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
8 | 8 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
|
20º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
JIA
38%
23%
40%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 0
GUA
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GGZ
1 - 0
JIA
27%
22%
50%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
JIA
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
JIA
2 - 3
SHE
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Haikou Mingcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HSF
1 - 1
QYF
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SHA
6 - 1
HSF
15%
18%
67%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | -3 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HSF
1 - 4
JIA
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HSF
1 - 4
SHE
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HSF
0 - 1
HBF
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |