Jiangxi Dark Horse vs Haikou Mingcheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
82.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
4º
4º
11
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 0
SSP
5%
11%
84%
|
7 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Haikou Mingcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HSF
0 - 1
GUA
93%
5%
2%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
YGT
1 - 2
HSF
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
HSF
2 - 2
MON
78%
15%
8%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
QYF
2 - 0
HSF
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ZQF
1 - 1
HSF
56%
22%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |