Jiangxi Dark Horse vs Haikou Mingcheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
82.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
4º
4º
11
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 0
SSP
5%
11%
84%
|
8 | 47 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Haikou Mingcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HSF
0 - 1
GUA
93%
5%
2%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
YGT
1 - 2
HSF
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
HSF
2 - 2
MON
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
QYF
2 - 0
HSF
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ZQF
1 - 1
HSF
56%
22%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |