Jiangxi Dark Horse vs Dalian Yingbo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
48.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+97%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
7º
6º
47
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
45 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 7 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WCH
2 - 0
JIA
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
JIA
2 - 0
BIT
21%
20%
58%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
JIA
0 - 0
QFC
16%
24%
61%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DAL
2 - 0
JIA
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HBF
3 - 0
JIA
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Dalian Yingbo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 1
DAL
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DAL
2 - 0
GUA
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
YUN
1 - 1
DAL
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DAL
2 - 0
JIA
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
DAL
2 - 0
BIT
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +3 |