Jiangxi Dark Horse vs Chongqing Tonglianglong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
20.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
4º
4º
36
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
QUI
0 - 1
JIA
9%
13%
78%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
JIA
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 0
HSF
6%
12%
82%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | +6 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 0
SSP
5%
11%
84%
|
8 | 47 | 39 | +8 |
Matches
Chongqing Tonglianglong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
RZY
1 - 6
CHO
9%
14%
77%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HBF
1 - 2
CHO
84%
11%
6%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 1
YUN
70%
17%
14%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 0
QYF
5%
12%
83%
|
8 | 45 | 37 | +10 |