Jiangxi Dark Horse vs Beijing Technology analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
6º
5º
25
6º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
29 | 21 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 16 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 16 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 15 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
1º
|
29 | 15 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 14 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 14 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 8 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
JIA
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 1
GGZ
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
JIA
2 - 1
GUA
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 1
JIA
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HBF
0 - 0
JIA
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Beijing Technology
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BIT
1 - 2
NHC
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
WCH
0 - 0
BIT
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BIT
1 - 2
TTF
22%
24%
55%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 0
BIT
13%
18%
70%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BIT
1 - 0
LAN
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |