Jiangxi Dark Horse vs Beijing Technology analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
7º
2º
33
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 17 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
1º
|
38 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 13 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
JIA
53%
22%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 1
GGZ
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
JIA
2 - 1
GUA
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 1
JIA
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HBF
0 - 0
JIA
68%
18%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Technology
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BIT
1 - 2
NHC
18%
22%
60%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
WCH
0 - 0
BIT
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BIT
1 - 2
TTF
22%
24%
55%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 0
BIT
13%
18%
70%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BIT
1 - 0
LAN
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |