Jiangxi Dark Horse vs Beijing Technology analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
58.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
7º
6º
27
6º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
45 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 7 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
JIA
0 - 0
QFC
16%
24%
61%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DAL
2 - 0
JIA
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HBF
3 - 0
JIA
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
JIA
0 - 3
YUN
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 0
QYF
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
Beijing Technology
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHO
5 - 0
BIT
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BIT
0 - 1
GUA
72%
16%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
DAL
2 - 0
BIT
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BIT
1 - 0
ZQF
47%
25%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BIT
1 - 2
QFC
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |