China League Two Play Off Ascenso 1/16
Global 3-8
Jiangsu Yancheng vs Hainan Boying Seamen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangsu Yancheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
JYD
3 - 0
BAO
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HOH
0 - 1
JYD
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
JYD
0 - 3
SHE
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
BAY
2 - 0
JYD
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
JYD
0 - 2
HEB
21%
24%
56%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Hainan Boying Seamen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HBS
0 - 1
SHR
43%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
HBS
45%
26%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HBS
1 - 0
SDO
36%
26%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LIJ
3 - 1
HBS
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
HBS
1 - 1
JIA
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |