FA Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Jiangsu FC vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangsu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
KUN
0 - 2
JIA
13%
18%
70%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
JIA
7 - 2
MEI
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 2
JIA
54%
22%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
JIA
0 - 0
GUA
29%
23%
48%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
SHA
1 - 2
JIA
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
TIT
5 - 1
CHA
34%
23%
43%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
TIT
1 - 0
GUI
49%
22%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
TIT
1 - 2
HEN
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
HEN
0 - 0
TIT
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
TIT
1 - 2
DAL
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |