FA Cup Final
Global 1-0
Jiangsu FC vs Shanghai Shenhua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangsu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SHA
3 - 1
JIA
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
JIA
1 - 1
HAN
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
JIA
2 - 0
SHA
29%
24%
48%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
JIA
1 - 1
HEN
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
SHA
1 - 2
JIA
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SHA
3 - 1
JIA
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LIA
1 - 0
SHA
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
BEI
1 - 4
SHA
28%
25%
46%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SHA
3 - 0
CHA
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
SHA
3 - 2
BEI
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |