FA Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Jiangsu FC vs Shandong Taishan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangsu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
JIA
1 - 1
HEN
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
SHA
1 - 2
JIA
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JIA
1 - 2
CHO
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BEI
1 - 0
JIA
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JIA
1 - 1
TIT
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SHA
5 - 2
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
SHA
1 - 2
JIA
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SHA
0 - 1
SHA
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SHA
1 - 2
SHA
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
SHA
2 - 1
HAN
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |