Jiangsu FC vs Henan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangsu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SHA
0 - 1
JIA
35%
30%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
JIA
1 - 0
LIA
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SHA
0 - 0
JIA
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
JIA
5 - 0
DAL
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TIT
0 - 0
JIA
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HEN
1 - 0
QIN
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DAL
1 - 0
HEN
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HEN
2 - 1
CHA
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 2
HEN
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 0
HEN
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |