JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
78.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
12º
9º
28
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 1
KFV
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KFV
0 - 2
GRO
5%
11%
84%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 1
KFV
92%
5%
3%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
KFV
0 - 0
RIG
9%
17%
74%
|
18 | 66 | 48 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 1
KFV
91%
6%
3%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Valmiera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
GRO
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FKB
2 - 1
VAL
13%
18%
69%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
VAL
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 1
RFA
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
DRS
85%
11%
5%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |