JFK Ventspils vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+100%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
11º
10º
50
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 53.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 38.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 8% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OUD
3 - 2
KFV
26%
22%
53%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 3
MAR
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 2
KFV
60%
18%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
KFV
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
4 - 0
RFA
35%
21%
43%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SUP
2 - 0
TUK
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 2
SUP
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RFA
0 - 3
SUP
8%
16%
76%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SUP
3 - 0
FSL
82%
12%
7%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SUP
1 - 0
ALB
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |