JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
0.7%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.7%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.8%
91.9%
Win probability
3.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.5%
0-4
11.4%
1-5
4.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
16.8%
0-5
8.6%
1-6
2.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
11.9%
0-6
5.4%
1-7
1.6%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
7.2%
0-7
2.9%
1-8
0.7%
2-9
0.1%
-7
3.7%
0-8
1.4%
1-9
0.3%
2-10
0%
-8
1.7%
0-9
0.6%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.7%
0-10
0.2%
-10
0.2%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
12º
9º
22
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
RIG
4 - 0
KFV
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 62 | 53 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
KFV
1 - 2
PRA
3%
9%
88%
|
9 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
RFA
0 - 1
KFV
96%
3%
1%
|
8 | 43 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PRA
4 - 0
SMI
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 2
SKA
20%
22%
58%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 2
SMI
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TUK
1 - 2
SMI
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 1
ALB
13%
20%
67%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | -1 |