JFK Ventspils vs Riga FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
64.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
11º
9º
37
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 60 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
4º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
5º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 39 |
6º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 27 |
10º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 17 |
14º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SUP
1 - 2
KFV
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SUP
2 - 1
KFV
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 0
OUD
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
KFV
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 0
SMI
28%
20%
52%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
TUK
0 - 7
RIG
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RIG
3 - 0
RIG
28%
25%
48%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
FSL
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 18 | 51 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 2
ALB
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 0
SKA
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |