JFK Ventspils vs Rezekne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
43.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
11º
9º
11
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 63 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 62 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 57 |
3º
|
76% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 49 |
4º
|
86% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 40 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 37 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
47.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 31 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 30 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 24 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 20 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 11% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 67.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 1
TUK
26%
21%
53%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 2
KFV
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FSL
0 - 1
KFV
50%
22%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 3
CAR
3%
8%
89%
|
30 | 77 | 47 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 2
ALB
17%
22%
61%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Rezekne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
RFA
2 - 1
TUK
27%
20%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 4
OUD
79%
13%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 0
RFA
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 1
MAR
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 5
PRA
29%
20%
52%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |