JFK Ventspils vs Ogre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+546%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
11º
10º
19
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 61 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 59 |
3º
|
66.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 37 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
KFV
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 0
SMI
28%
20%
52%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 2
PRA
17%
18%
65%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 3
VAL
12%
19%
69%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
RFA
2 - 2
KFV
75%
14%
11%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 0
TUK
8%
13%
80%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 0
OUD
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 52 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OUD
0 - 1
FSL
16%
18%
66%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OUD
0 - 3
ALB
12%
20%
68%
|
9 | 60 | 51 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 1
SKA
13%
20%
67%
|
9 | 53 | 44 | 0 |