JFK Ventspils vs FK Mārupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
45.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
11º
9º
33
4º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 2
KFV
60%
18%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
KFV
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
4 - 0
RFA
35%
21%
43%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 1
TUK
26%
21%
53%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 2
KFV
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
FK Mārupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
FSL
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
TUK
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
3 - 1
MAR
74%
16%
11%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
SKA
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +1 |