Jezero vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
26.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jezero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 1
JEZ
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
JEZ
0 - 0
DEC
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
JEZ
1 - 0
FKA
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FKM
1 - 2
JEZ
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
JEZ
2 - 0
PET
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
BUD
27%
26%
48%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 0
MOR
34%
29%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
JED
0 - 1
MOR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MOR
4 - 3
JED
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DEC
3 - 1
MOR
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |