Jette vs Ostiches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
5º
14º
14º
3
15º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
11 | 71 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 63 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 59 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 59 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 58 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 58 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 55 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 55 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 51 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 43 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 42 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 40 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
3 | 36 |
16º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 21 |
17º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 18 |
18º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation
|
14% | 39% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
AYW
2 - 2
JET
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
EUP
2 - 1
JET
45%
22%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
JET
0 - 7
RWD
5%
12%
83%
|
41 | 76 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
JET
1 - 5
SGI
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TOU
6 - 0
JET
64%
22%
15%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ostiches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
OST
0 - 1
ONH
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 1
OST
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AYW
3 - 2
OST
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
OST
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ENT
3 - 3
OST
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |