Jesina vs Nerostellati Pratola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FAB
0 - 2
JES
30%
22%
47%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
JES
1 - 1
MON
30%
24%
47%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
JES
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
JES
2 - 3
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VIS
2 - 1
JES
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Nerostellati Pratola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
USN
0 - 3
VIS
9%
16%
75%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 3
USN
86%
11%
4%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
USN
91%
7%
2%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
USN
0 - 2
ASD
8%
15%
77%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
USN
0 - 3
MAT
7%
15%
78%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | -1 |