Jesina vs Sangiustese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
JES
1 - 1
FER
19%
24%
57%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
JES
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CIV
0 - 1
JES
21%
24%
55%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
JES
1 - 0
SAN
24%
26%
50%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 1
JES
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sangiustese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAS
54%
21%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
ASL
18%
24%
58%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ACS
3 - 1
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
VIN
65%
21%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
VFC
1 - 2
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |