Jesina vs Monticelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
JES
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
JES
2 - 3
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VIS
2 - 1
JES
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 1
JES
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
JES
2 - 0
ASD
17%
20%
63%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
VIS
16%
21%
63%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 1
MON
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MON
3 - 1
ASD
26%
23%
52%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
FRA
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |