Jesina vs Monticelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FER
4 - 1
JES
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
JES
1 - 0
CAS
64%
19%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
JES
2 - 0
CHI
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +3 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
AVE
5 - 2
JES
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -3 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
OLY
1 - 0
JES
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
FVE
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
AMI
0 - 0
MON
37%
23%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GIU
3 - 0
MON
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MON
4 - 0
ISE
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FAN
1 - 0
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |