Jesina vs Fabriano Cerreto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
JES
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
JES
0 - 1
SAN
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
JES
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
JES
1 - 4
VIS
26%
27%
48%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
JES
1 - 1
PIN
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fabriano Cerreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
FAB
0 - 3
MAT
10%
17%
73%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 1
FAB
79%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FAB
0 - 2
AVE
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
FAB
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 2
LAQ
11%
17%
72%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |