Jesina vs Civitanovese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
JES
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
LEN
4 - 1
JES
57%
21%
21%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
JES
3 - 3
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 1
JES
67%
18%
16%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JES
2 - 1
ALF
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 0
ALF
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 0
CIV
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CIV
0 - 2
SAM
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 0
CIV
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |