Jesina vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
OLY
1 - 0
JES
56%
23%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
JES
1 - 2
FRA
34%
27%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
USN
0 - 3
JES
8%
15%
77%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
JES
0 - 0
FAB
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
JES
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
PIN
19%
21%
61%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 1
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
SAN
38%
28%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MAT
6 - 1
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
REC
58%
24%
18%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |