Jesina vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
JES
1 - 0
SAM
32%
24%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
OLY
3 - 1
JES
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
JES
1 - 2
ROM
48%
25%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
3 - 2
JES
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 0
JES
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
ROM
21%
22%
58%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 1
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIS
15%
22%
63%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 0
CAS
67%
19%
15%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
MAT
16%
21%
64%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |